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Uncertainty without doubt!

  • 05/11/2020
  • Blog
ruler

Uncertainty of measurement: what it means for your reference blocks

Anyone involved in hardness testing will have seen the phrase ‘uncertainty of measurement’ on the certificates supplied with the calibration blocks that are used to check the accuracy of your test machine. Some may have even pondered on what that really means. Most of us grew up with tolerances: a dimension is either within tolerance or it isn’t, giving yes/no clarity.

Uncertainty of measurement is a different concept altogether, and it’s the means by which accuracy is defined in metrology — and hence in hardness testing.

A tolerance is a permissible range of variation. If a shaft is specified at 50mm ±0.1mm, it’s acceptable anywhere between 49.9mm and 50.1mm — a requirement telling you the minimum and maximum size. Uncertainty of measurement is not a requirement. It’s a statement about the measurement process: how well we truly know the value we’ve measured. It’s an acceptance that no measurement is perfect.

When a reference block leaves a UKAS-accredited laboratory certified at 250 HBW with an expanded uncertainty of, say, ±2.25 HBW, that figure is not a tolerance. It defines the range within which the true value almost certainly lies — and ‘almost certainly’ has a precise meaning here.

The internationally accepted convention is to quote expanded uncertainty at a coverage factor of k=2 , meaning that true value has a 95% chance of being within the stated range of 4.5 HBW (±2.25 HBW). The remaining 5% isn’t ‘swept under the carpet’; it’s the honest statistical reality of measurement. Understanding k=2 is essential to reading any Brinell calibration certificate correctly. Tolerance hasn’t actually disappeared it’s just a different thing, a different way of thinking about the measured characteristics of a material.

This matters in practice. If your tester reads 252 HBW on a block certified at 250 HBW, and your machine’s uncertainty is ±3 HBW, then 252 HBW is entirely consistent with a true value of 250 HBW — the difference is within what the process can reliably resolve. To declare the machine out of specification on that basis would be a conclusion the result simply does not support.

The standards address this directly. The indirect verification of a hardness machine — assessing its performance against independently calibrated reference blocks — is at least partially the process from which the machine’s measurement uncertainty is derived. The errors and repeatability established during that verification, and the resulting uncertainty figures, inform the interpretation (and correction) of all subsequent test results.

The key distinction, for those new to this concept, is that uncertainty of measurement is not a fudge. It’s a rigorous, quantified expression of confidence in a result.

 

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Picture of Alex Austin

Alex Austin

Alex is a member of the ISE/101/05 Indentation Hardness Testing Committee at the British Standards Institution. He has been part of the delegation to the International Standards Organisation advising on the development of the standard ISO 6506 Metallic materials - Brinell hardness test and is the chairman and convenor for the current ISO revision of the standard.

In his role as Foundrax MD, Alex leads a company with an industrial pedigree that can be traced right back to 18th Century Bohemia, where his forebears ran a major foundry supplies business, and in his work at the British Standards Institution he has used his extensive knowledge of Brinell testing in the UK’s steel, oil and gas industries to ensure that the interests of laboratory and shop-floor end users are appropriately represented.

Alex has been Managing Director of Foundrax Engineering Products since 2001. A skilled negotiator and commercial manager, Alex leads a team of engineers and technicians with skills ranging all the way from traditional toolmaking to embedded software systems. Between 2020 and 2024 he oversaw the introduction of a new generation of Brinell hardness testers and he is currently developing further enhancements to the world-leading ‘BRINtronic’ automatic Brinell indentation measurement system.

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